The contest between pundits who criticized Nate Silver (and other statisticians) has been won decisively by the statisticians.
President Obama was re-elected on Nov 6, and statistician Nate Silver gets Gold
for his
correct predictions.
Compare Nate Silver state-by-state prediction on Nov 5, the day before the election:
and the actual map the day after the elections (Florida is colored light blue, with a small but significant Obama lead on Nov 7).
Nate Silver got correctly all the states, including all the battleground states, and even caught the late surge in Florida, which had the closest margin, giving Obama 50.3% chance to win.
The contest between pundits who
attacked Nate Silver (and other statisticians) and predicted other results has been won decisively by statisticians.
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