KDnuggets : News : 2002 : n16 : item1    ( next)

Features


From: Gregory Piatetsky-Shapiro

Date: Aug 26, 2002

Subject: Poll Results: Can data mining predict the movement of S&P 500?

KDNuggets readers are split on this topics. About half of the 200+ voters think that S&P 500, one of the major market indices, cannot be predicted. On the other hand, about one third thinks that it can be predicted occasionally, under some conditions.

This poll generated a number of interesting comments, from people who point that

"Historical performance is no guarantee of future returns"
-- a standard disclaimer in investment literature, to people who say that have developed models that successfully predict S&P 500.

See full results and comments at

www.kdnuggets.com/polls/2002/predicting_S&P500.htm


KDnuggets : News : 2002 : n16 : item1    ( next)

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