Microsoft, Big Data Pick Oscar Winners

Ahead of 85 Academy awards, two studies have already picked the winners, including Argo for Best picture and Daniel-Day Lewis for Best Actor.

ReadWrite, Mark Hachman, Feb 14, 2013

OscarTen days before Hollywood hands out its Oscar statuettes, a pair of studies - one by Microsoft's in-house "Nate Silver," and another measuring social influence - have already picked the winners.

Microsoft Research's David Rothschild, who, like Silver, used early polls to correctly predict the outcome of the presidential elections in all but Florida, has used the predictive nature of the early awards shows to place his bets on who will be winning the various Academy Awards.

Meanwhile, an English analyst firm, Brandwatch, has attempted to slice social media data in a couple of new ways (by both critical reaction and popular acclaim) to anticipate the winners.

The predicted winners are

  • Best Picture: Argo
  • Best Director: Steven Spielberg (Rothschild, Brandwatch popular) / David O. Russell (Brandwatch critics)
  • Best Actor: Daniel-Day Lewis
  • Best Actress: Jennifer Lawrence (Rothschild, Brandwatch popular) / Jessica Chastain (Brandwatch critics)
  • Best Supporting Actor: Tommy Lee Jones (Rothschild) / Christoph Waltz (Brandwatch popular) / Robert de Niro (Brandwatch critics)
  • Best Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway
  • Best Animated Film: Brave
  • Best Original Song: Adele's "Skyfall"

The remaining categories, including best makeup, screenplay, documentary shorts, and others, can be found on the respective sites: Predictwise for Rothschild's predictions, and the Brandwatch Oscars site.

Read more.

We will find out who won at the 85th Academy Awards, February 24th, 2013.