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Average length of stay in this study area rose 45.7 percent, from 4.3 days to 6.2 days. Around $934,000 could have been saved if average length of stay had been equal to the expected value of 4.8 days. If current conditions continue into the next period, this trend will result in $2.3 million of additional expenses.
Explanations: The increase in average length of stay in this study area is related to the fact that average length of stay in High-cost Admissions rose 93.6 percent, from 16.8 days to 32.5 days. The observed deviation from the expected value is related to the fact that average length of stay in Mental Health Admissions was 544.8% above the expected value (72.0 days versus 11.2 days).
Recommendation: Review the utilization concurrent review program for length of stay. Because there are care management programs that are condition specific, e.g. mental health, catastrophic, you should check to see if KeFiR key findings surface by benefit area or by MDC. This will help to target an intervention.
Projected savings: $699,000 (based on an expected payoff of 30%).
Total inpatient payments in this study area rose 8.8 percent, from $3.8 million to $4.1 million. Around $1.7 million could have been saved if total inpatient payments had been equal to the expected value of $2.5 million. If current conditions continue into the next period, this trend will result in $1.7 million of additional expenses.
The increase in total inpatient payments in this study area is related to the fact that number of covered lives in this study area rose 11.7 percent, from 4696 to 5245. The observed deviation from the expected value is related to the fact that payments per day was 85.1% above the expected value ($3,797.91 versus $2,052.33).
Measure 1992 1993 Change 1993 Norm Diff. ------------ ----------- ----------- ------- ----------- ------- Total payment $3,802,222 $4,135,736 8.8% $2,478,167 66.9% Pay/capita $809 $788 -2.6% $472 66.9% Covered lives 4696 5245 11.7% Episodes 349 352 0.9% Average LOS 4.3 days 6.2 days 45.7% 4.8 days 29.2% Pay/day $2,558 $1,893 -26.0% $1,394 35.8% Adms/1000 74.3 67.1 -9.7% 70.5 -4.9% Readmit-30 rt 8.0 8.5 6.2% Mjr adv rt 13.5 13.6 1.3%
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