New Poll: Predicting Obama vs Romney

Who do you prefer in US 2012 Presidential Election and who do you expect to win? Please vote

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New KDnuggets Poll is asking:

This poll has been closed, but here are the results of KDnuggets Poll:
Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney

• Who do you prefer in 2012 US Presidential Election?
• Who will win 2012 US Presidential Election?

Election forecasting is a popular activity. See, for example, Big Data Analytics Predict Obama Win - two different models by different professors both predict Obama win.

Among more quantitative forecasts, The Intrade market on Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012 gives 74.6% probability for Obama re-election.

Nate Silver 538 blog estimates Obama chance of winning at 85.7% as of Oct 2, 2012.