Was octopus a better predictor than a Bayesian algorithm? New movie about Paul The Psychic Octopus, whose remarkable string of eight correct 'predictions' during the 2010 Soccer World Cup made him a worldwide superstar. Also an example of Data Mining #FAIL.
From the movie blurb
THE LIFE AND TIMES OF PAUL THE PSYCHIC OCTOPUS
tells the official and exclusive story of the world's most beloved and scorned cephalopod, whose remarkable string of eight correct 'predictions' during the 2010 Soccer World Cup made him a worldwide superstar. Whether Paul is an honest-to-goodness 21st century oracle, or a tentacled sham, remains a hotly debated topic. What is certain, though, is that Paul's unmatched string of correct predictions has affected us, made us dream, and impacted popular culture. THE LIFE AND TIMES OF PAUL THE PSYCHIC OCTOPUS is a biopic of tentacular proportions--one that explores celebrity mania at its most outrageous, the science of probabilities, and the possibility of higher powers.
Analytics professionals will cringe when they read about octopus predictions, but for comparison, here is
2010 World Cup prediction from Bayes Forecast which had Brazil beating Spain in the final.
Prev
From the movie blurb
Twitter |
Facebook |
RSS |
About KDnuggets