Do you have a method for forecasting, timeseries analysis, statistical inference, bias correction, or recalibration?
Could you apply it to realtime forecasts of current events (like international politics, global economics, political stability, or health & technology trends)?
Are you willing to test it against humans and machines in a points-based crowdsourcing experiment?
If so, Team DAGGRE wants you. We are deploying a unique combinatorial prediction market which will let you make conditional forecasts. Our goal is to dramatically enhance the accuracy, precision, and timeliness in forecasts of strategic interest.
Volunteers must be U.S. citizens at least 18 years of age. Each month, active participants will be eligible to receive one of 60 awards provided as a $50 Amazon Gift Card. Volunteers must not be participating in any other study in the ACE program.
Details and registration at www.daggre.org, or email daggre_admin@c4i*gmu*edu for more info.
Some recent questions on the market deal with Moody's ratings in France and Germany, about Syria, the current political situation in Romania, Iran and Somalia.