| Who do you prefer in 2012 US presidential election? [423 voters] | |
| Barack Obama (267) |  63% |
| Mitt Romney (115) |  27% |
| another candidate (41) |  10% |
Who Who will win 2012 US Presidential Election? | |
| Barack Obama (310) | 73% |
| Mitt Romney (76) | 18% |
| Not sure (37) |  9% |
This poll was conducted Oct 2-16, both before and after the first debate on Oct 3.
Of those who prefer Obama, 92% expect him to win, while among those who prefer Romney, only 59% expect him to win.
As of Oct 16 (before the second Obama - Romney debate), Nate Silver gives Obama 66% chance of winning, while Intrade for Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012 estimated his chance of winning at 61%.
Here is a regional distribution, where regions are grouped into
low Romney support and high Romney support. Bar height is proportional to the number of voters.
|
Who do you prefer in 2012 US presidential election? | |||
| Region | Barack Obama | Mitt Romney | another |
| US (274) | 57% |
35% |
8% |
| Canada, W. Europe, Australia/NZ, Latin America (103) | 81% |
7% |
13% |
| E. Europe, Asia, Africa/Middle East (46) | 61% |
28% |
11% |
Looking at "Who do you prefer" by country, the strongest support for Romney was in
- Israel, 100% (of 2 votes)
- Poland, 50% (of 4 votes)
- Turkey, 40% (of 5 votes)
- India, 36% (of 11 votes)
- US, 35% (of 274 votes)
- Germany, 18% (of 17 votes)