# Which methods should be used for solving linear regression?

As a foundational set of algorithms in any machine learning toolbox, linear regression can be solved with a variety of approaches. Here, we discuss. with with code examples, four methods and demonstrate how they should be used.

**By Ahmad Bin Shafiq, Machine Learning Student**.

Linear Regression is a supervised machine learning algorithm. It predicts a linear relationship between an independent variable (y), based on the given dependant variables (x), such that the independent variable (y) has the **lowest cost**.

### Different approaches to solve linear regression models

There are many different methods that we can apply to our linear regression model in order to make it more efficient. But we will discuss the most common of them here.

- Gradient Descent
- Least Square Method / Normal Equation Method
- Adams Method
- Singular Value Decomposition (SVD)

Okay, so let’s begin…

### Gradient Descent

One of the most common and easiest methods for beginners to solve linear regression problems is gradient descent.

**How Gradient Descent works**

Now, let's suppose we have our data plotted out in the form of a scatter graph, and when we apply a cost function to it, our model will make a prediction. Now this prediction can be very good, or it can be far away from our ideal prediction (meaning its cost will be high). So, in order to minimize that cost (error), we apply gradient descent to it.

Now, gradient descent will slowly converge our hypothesis towards a global minimum, where the **cost** would be lowest. In doing so, we have to manually set the value of **alpha, **and the slope of the hypothesis changes with respect to our alpha’s value. If the value of alpha is large, then it will take big steps. Otherwise, in the case of small alpha, our hypothesis would converge slowly and through small baby steps.

*Hypothesis converging towards a global minimum. Image from Medium.*

The Equation for Gradient Descent is

*Source: Ruder.io.*

**Implementing Gradient Descent in Python**

import numpy as np from matplotlib import pyplot #creating our data X = np.random.rand(10,1) y = np.random.rand(10,1) m = len(y) theta = np.ones(1) #applying gradient descent a = 0.0005 cost_list = [] for i in range(len(y)): theta = theta - a*(1/m)*np.transpose(X)@([email protected] - y) cost_val = (1/m)*np.transpose(X)@([email protected] - y) cost_list.append(cost_val) #Predicting our Hypothesis b = theta yhat = X.dot(b) #Plotting our results pyplot.scatter(X, y, color='red') pyplot.plot(X, yhat, color='blue') pyplot.show()

*Model after Gradient Descent.*

Here first, we have created our dataset, and then we looped over all our training examples in order to minimize our cost of hypothesis.

**Pros:**

Important advantages of Gradient Descent are

- Less Computational Cost as compared to SVD or ADAM
- Running time is O(kn²)
- Works well with more number of features

**Cons:**

Important cons of Gradient Descent are

- Need to choose some learning rate
**α** - Needs many iterations to converge
- Can be stuck in Local Minima
- If not proper Learning Rate
**α**, then it might not converge.

### Least Square Method

The least-square method, also known as the **normal equation,** is also one of the most common approaches to solving linear regression models easily. But, this one needs to have some basic knowledge of linear algebra.

**How the least square method works**

In normal LSM, we solve directly for the value of our coefficient. In short, in one step, we reach our optical minimum point, or we can say only in one step we fit our hypothesis to our data with the lowest cost possible.

*Before and after applying LSM to our dataset. Image from Medium.*

The equation for LSM is

**Implementing LSM in Python**

import numpy as np from matplotlib import pyplot #creating our data X = np.random.rand(10,1) y = np.random.rand(10,1) #Computing coefficient b = np.linalg.inv(X.T.dot(X)).dot(X.T).dot(y) #Predicting our Hypothesis yhat = X.dot(b) #Plotting our results pyplot.scatter(X, y, color='red') pyplot.plot(X, yhat, color='blue') pyplot.show()

Here first we have created our dataset and then minimized the cost of our hypothesis using the

*b = np.linalg.inv(X.T.dot(X)).dot(X.T).dot(y)*

code, which is equivalent to our equation.

**Pros:**

Important advantages of LSM are:

- No Learning Rate
- No Iterations
- Feature Scaling Not Necessary
- Works really well when the Number of Features is less.

**Cons:**

Important cons are:

- Is computationally expensive when the dataset is big.
- Slow when Number of Features is more
- Running Time is O(n³)
- Sometimes, your X transpose X is non-invertible, i.e., a singular matrix with no inverse. You can use
*np.linalg.pinv*instead of*np.linalg.inv*to overcome this problem.

### Adam’s Method

ADAM, which stands for Adaptive Moment Estimation, is an optimization algorithm that is widely used in Deep Learning.

It is an iterative algorithm that works well on noisy data.

It is the combination of RMSProp and Mini-batch Gradient Descent algorithms.

In addition to storing an exponentially decaying average of past squared gradients like Adadelta and RMSprop, Adam also keeps an exponentially decaying average of past gradients, similar to momentum.

We compute the decaying averages of past and past squared gradients respectively as follows:

*Credit: Ruder.io.*

As *mt* and *vt* are initialized as vectors of 0’s, the authors of Adam observe that they are biased towards zero, especially during the initial time steps, and especially when the decay rates are small (i.e., β1β1 and β2β2 are close to 1).

They counteract these biases by computing bias-corrected first and second-moment estimates:

*Credit: Ruder.io.*

They then update the parameters with:

*Credit: Ruder.io.*

You can learn the theory behind Adam here or here.

**Pseudocode for Adam** is

*Source: Arxiv Adam.*

Let’s see it’s code in Pure Python.

#Creating the Dummy Data set and importing libraries import math import seaborn as sns import numpy as np from scipy import stats from matplotlib import pyplot x = np.random.normal(0,1,size=(100,1)) y = np.random.random(size=(100,1))

Now Let’s find the actual graph of Linear Regression and values for slope and intercept for our dataset.

print("Intercept is " ,stats.mstats.linregress(x,y).intercept) print("Slope is ", stats.mstats.linregress(x,y).slope)

Now let us see the Linear Regression line using the Seaborn *regplot *function.

pyplot.figure(figsize=(15,8)) sns.regplot(x,y) pyplot.show()

Let us code Adam Optimizer now in pure Python.

h = lambda theta_0, theta_1, x: theta_0 + np.dot(x,theta_1) #equation of straight lines # the cost function (for the whole batch. for comparison later) def J(x, y, theta_0, theta_1): m = len(x) returnValue = 0 for i in range(m): returnValue += (h(theta_0, theta_1, x[i]) - y[i])**2 returnValue = returnValue/(2*m) return returnValue # finding the gradient per each training example def grad_J(x, y, theta_0, theta_1): returnValue = np.array([0., 0.]) returnValue[0] += (h(theta_0, theta_1, x) - y) returnValue[1] += (h(theta_0, theta_1, x) - y)*x return returnValue class AdamOptimizer: def __init__(self, weights, alpha=0.001, beta1=0.9, beta2=0.999, epsilon=1e-8): self.alpha = alpha self.beta1 = beta1 self.beta2 = beta2 self.epsilon = epsilon self.m = 0 self.v = 0 self.t = 0 self.theta = weights def backward_pass(self, gradient): self.t = self.t + 1 self.m = self.beta1*self.m + (1 - self.beta1)*gradient self.v = self.beta2*self.v + (1 - self.beta2)*(gradient**2) m_hat = self.m/(1 - self.beta1**self.t) v_hat = self.v/(1 - self.beta2**self.t) self.theta = self.theta - self.alpha*(m_hat/(np.sqrt(v_hat) - self.epsilon)) return self.theta

Here, we have implemented all the equations mentioned in the pseudocode above using an object-oriented approach and some helper functions.

Let us now set the hyperparameters for our model.

epochs = 1500 print_interval = 100 m = len(x) initial_theta = np.array([0., 0.]) # initial value of theta, before gradient descent initial_cost = J(x, y, initial_theta[0], initial_theta[1]) theta = initial_theta adam_optimizer = AdamOptimizer(theta, alpha=0.001) adam_history = [] # to plot out path of descent adam_history.append(dict({'theta': theta, 'cost': initial_cost})#to check theta and cost function

And finally, the training process.

for j in range(epochs): for i in range(m): gradients = grad_J(x[i], y[i], theta[0], theta[1]) theta = adam_optimizer.backward_pass(gradients) if ((j+1)%print_interval == 0 or j==0): cost = J(x, y, theta[0], theta[1]) print ('After {} epochs, Cost = {}, theta = {}'.format(j+1, cost, theta)) adam_history.append(dict({'theta': theta, 'cost': cost})) print ('\nFinal theta = {}'.format(theta))

Now, if we compare the *Final theta* values to the slope and intercept values, calculated earlier using *scipy.stats.mstat.linregress*, they are almost 99% equal and can be 100% equal by adjusting the hyperparameters.

Finally, let us plot it.

b = theta yhat = b[0] + x.dot(b[1]) pyplot.figure(figsize=(15,8)) pyplot.scatter(x, y, color='red') pyplot.plot(x, yhat, color='blue') pyplot.show()

And we can see that our plot is similar to plot obtained using *sns.regplot*.

**Pros:**

- Straightforward to implement.
- Computationally efficient.
- Little memory requirements.
- Invariant to diagonal rescale of the gradients.
- Well suited for problems that are large in terms of data and/or parameters.
- Appropriate for non-stationary objectives.
- Appropriate for problems with very noisy/or sparse gradients.
- Hyper-parameters have intuitive interpretation and typically require little tuning.

**Cons:**

- Adam and RMSProp are highly sensitive to certain values of the learning rate (and, sometimes, other hyper-parameters like the batch size), and they can catastrophically fail to converge if e.g., the learning rate is too high. (Source: stackexchange)

### Singular Value Decomposition

Singular value decomposition shortened as SVD is one of the famous and most widely used dimensionality reduction methods in linear regression.

SVD is used (amongst other uses) as a preprocessing step to reduce the number of dimensions for our learning algorithm. SVD decomposes a matrix into a product of three other matrices (U, S, V).

Once our matrix has been decomposed, the coefficients for our hypothesis can be found by calculating the pseudoinverse of the input matrix **X** and multiplying that by the output vector **y**. After that, we fit our hypothesis to our data, and that gives us the lowest cost.

**Implementing SVD in Python**

import numpy as np from matplotlib import pyplot #Creating our data X = np.random.rand(10,1) y = np.random.rand(10,1) #Computing coefficient b = np.linalg.pinv(X).dot(y) #Predicting our Hypothesis yhat = X.dot(b) #Plotting our results pyplot.scatter(X, y, color='red') pyplot.plot(X, yhat, color='blue') pyplot.show()

Though it is not converged very well, it is still pretty good.

Here first, we have created our dataset and then minimized the cost of our hypothesis using b = np.linalg.pinv(X).dot(y), which is the equation for SVD.

**Pros:**

- Works better with higher dimensional data
- Good for gaussian type distributed data
- Really stable and efficient for a small dataset
- While solving linear equations for linear regression, it is more stable and the preferred approach.

**Cons:**

- Running time is O(n³)
- Multiple risk factors
- Really sensitive to outliers
- May get unstable with a very large dataset

### Learning Outcome

As of now, we have learned and implemented gradient descent, LSM, ADAM, and SVD. And now, we have a very good understanding of all of these algorithms, and we also know what are the pros and cons.

One thing we noticed was that the ADAM optimization algorithm was the most accurate, and according to the actual ADAM research paper, ADAM outperforms almost all other optimization algorithms.

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